Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x224d687ec98f269dbf5bfa106414274aca17cb5c144cbad476638fae91fbc4ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 75c | 14,175$10,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 10,312$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.29 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 76c | 5,500$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.99 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Yes | 5c | 3,645$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 3,308$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.07 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,830$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,401$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,186$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 24c | 927.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 817$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…8175backed Yes | 24c | 799.6$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 25c | 782.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…46b5backed No | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 4c | 623.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 23c | 577.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe26…c06fbacked No | 77c | 531.01$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 76c | 357.38$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 294$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…4f4fbacked No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1593backed No | 76c | 215.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…7e13backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 27c | 188.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 21c | 116.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 24c | 115.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 25c | 114.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…6961backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 74c | 88.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…4883backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…64efbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 26c | 76.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 75c | 72.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…ab6fbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…b3a7backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked No | 75c | 45.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked No | 75c | 42.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…ee7abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed No | 76c | 32.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…f2fabacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…36adbacked No | 76c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…a228backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…ead5backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…d071backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…3ab7backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…e40abacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…16f2backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 77c | 13.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will OGC Nice vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.