Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd38acad201b9867d878aaf9c121d21d9da198b843e0eaab893cc7a53a4fc2685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 5,420$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.91 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 41c | 3,216$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 65c | 2,761$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.14 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 2,732$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.89 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 35c | 1,944$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 66c | 1,598$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 66c | 1,433$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.1 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 42c | 1,126$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.14 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 40c | 1,126$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 983.08$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.83 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 34c | 912.78$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.42 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 51c | 840$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 46c | 796.12$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.87 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 56c | 430$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 35c | 413.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.78 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 54c | 389.56$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 38c | 376.32$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 339$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 32c | 312$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 65c | 309.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 277.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 40c | 255$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.22 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 42c | 237.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 43c | 230.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 66c | 187.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 33c | 153.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…7b4ebacked Over | 41c | 134.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Under | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 121.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 54c | 111.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 34c | 89.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 78.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 51c | 72.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…9db2backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 65c | 67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 36c | 66.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 36c | 55.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 32c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Over | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 35c | 51.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…3d2abacked Over | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…8e0fbacked Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…947dbacked Over | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 51c | 30.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 35c | 28.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 63c | 20.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 64c | 15.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.