Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf48e890e33b0709793e21ad13520b506651dde387725b5865f6b77a5aa542d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,254$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.87 | 2,575 | 45.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L | +12.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 46c | 1,135$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.08 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 54c | 944.85$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.03 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 743.63$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.49 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 46c | 361.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 323.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 2,013 | 39.4%794 W · 1,219 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 198.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 55c | 192.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 180.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…ea76backed Yes | 45c | 136$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 48c | 122.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…c13ebacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…8e0fbacked Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 63c | 73.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 56c | 45.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…e338backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 55c | 44.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…0585backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 59c | 41.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.