TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes48c70,000$33,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,40021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No52c35,418$18,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,417.185846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4003951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c18,107$8,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,345.519934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c15,327$7,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,974.973,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No36c9,152$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.3452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c7,456$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,440.212,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No17c5,850$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.4727939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No52c5,151$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.512733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c4,956$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.1644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.9760%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes49c3,372$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.291346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed No50c2,472$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604a…0177backed Yes52c2,366$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No50c2,216$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.813745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes49c2,042$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.189748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes50c2,001$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.352142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.968946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+167.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No45c1,252$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.3742844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.419954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No42c1,016$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.170239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No52c976.15$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.438658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No52c976.14$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.8733847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No51c956.89$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0115846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c839$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No51c809.73$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8610360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No52c761.68$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.445337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No50c711.98$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1310554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No19c649.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No52c599.96$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.989852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No52c517.61$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.984250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes47c510.16$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.382576%19 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.992245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.42536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes48c416.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.612839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No52c408.16$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.94042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed No52c387.93$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.865151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.22250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0469…2f00backed Yes80c383.25$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.65955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes48c377.25$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes52c361.35$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.451464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No34c356.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.46139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No31c355.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.811644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca47…fb92backed Yes49c333.69$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes49c316.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes51c315.78$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.782951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes49c309.2$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No37c290.2$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.321816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes47c282.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.984443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes48c279.55$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7f…b2e5backed Yes48c275$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2b…a74cbacked Yes49c242.86$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No55c239$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2821243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72c…4b39backed Yes48c227.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes49c213.9$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.91060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2293…8c25backed Yes48c211.48$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed Yes48c210.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked No52c208.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3370%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334949%24 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041090%9 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.45per pick45cpaid+102.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a7…5517backed Yes48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0810761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No28c193$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0812247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes48c190.3$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.752040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3080…ba8bbacked Yes47c176.53$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.56560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes47c170.36$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.292548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.23638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No53c147.17$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No50c138.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3810332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Yes50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes68c112.47$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No40c108.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-69.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+66.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0356…5273backed No25c100.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes50c100.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x359d…1210backed No52c100.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.87520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes50c100.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe665…eefabacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492885.7%24 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+40.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes50c89.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2210941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.