Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x698799c91f79b7d6d66aad8c676517a9a739f1b530e4d87465ec48db0fcf7779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 2,070$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.23 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,273$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 964.69$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 443.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 352.5$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 24c | 283.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 27c | 249.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…0177backed Yes | 30c | 164.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 71c | 116.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 112$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…6cb7backed No | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Yes | 18c | 93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 73c | 91.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 26c | 91.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 74c | 84.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 64.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 61.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 26c | 46.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 42.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 74c | 41.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 73c | 40.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cba…3dc6backed Yes | 28c | 38.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 73c | 29.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +326.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 74c | 23.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb35…dd01backed No | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 76c | 14.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 78c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.