Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31403d64b8f21907c237c0c50e20ea8d505f4bb40c4053cea1293a69cb47241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 70c | 3,552$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.55 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 2,782$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.56 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 2,040$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,668$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.49 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 1,456$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.73 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 74c | 1,390$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 1,237$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 1,045$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 605$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 30c | 398.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 26c | 384.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 18c | 366.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 28c | 358$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 275$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 8c | 228.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 19c | 118.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Yes | 25c | 112.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 72c | 96.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 74c | 82.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 26c | 61.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 70c | 43.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 72c | 32.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 27.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 74c | 21.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 75cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-12-11?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.