TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Espanyol win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,220,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,227,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,220,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 803 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes40c25,764$10,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,458.353946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No60c25,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c24,740$5,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,290.264,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0f…f83cbacked Yes42c5,388$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No24c4,702$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.1569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b1…6566backed Yes42c4,641$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c1…63f6backed Yes42c4,473$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7436…2ffbbacked No58c4,325$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef1…012abacked Yes42c4,201$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f35…8a08backed No58c4,145$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c30…3b39backed Yes42c4,138$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c0…4339backed No58c4,100$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd30b…7b6dbacked Yes42c4,079$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+89.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1302…0752backed No58c3,890$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafcb…f2c4backed Yes42c3,626$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8a…a184backed No58c3,428$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7473…af26backed Yes42c3,210$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f79…5917backed No58c3,194$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.52757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cb…f53fbacked No58c3,167$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.8640%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ebe…2d65backed Yes42c3,146$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90e…3bcbbacked No58c3,133$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+54.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c95…32a8backed No58c3,128$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a3…e926backed Yes42c3,068$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd446…7b8dbacked No58c3,068$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+87.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda4e…ec8fbacked No58c3,053$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.74560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3866…8d4dbacked Yes42c3,051$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee24…7013backed Yes42c2,979$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe82…c594backed Yes42c2,967$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7dc…65c0backed Yes42c2,949$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda99…524fbacked No58c2,945$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8981…a43abacked No58c2,856$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1d…43c9backed Yes42c2,848$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+89%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5666…2b40backed Yes42c2,839$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d5c…0423backed No58c2,827$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf306…6960backed Yes42c2,826$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.08977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ba9…3798backed Yes42c2,824$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+181.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7966…5804backed No58c2,804$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fe0…9730backed Yes42c2,785$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fe…ba07backed No58c2,782$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.5650%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaef7…a192backed No58c2,776$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No10c2,770$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8626930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8d7…ce85backed Yes42c2,766$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…cbf9backed Yes42c2,694$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d7d…9386backed No58c2,664$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.12887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf55…a74abacked Yes42c2,618$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+154%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No3c2,601$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0424…8ccdbacked Yes42c2,596$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76ef…96e8backed No58c2,595$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7006…0840backed No58c2,587$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.46450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e1…f9babacked No58c2,545$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes41c2,542$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.0230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…f596backed Yes42c2,527$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a05…b92abacked No58c2,518$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.44560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ba…a45abacked No58c2,513$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.54683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4504959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d32…03d6backed Yes42c2,480$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5794…be17backed No58c2,455$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.950%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26d2…131dbacked No58c2,450$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0643…3cb8backed No58c2,450$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42140%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c2,433$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.6290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60c…652ebacked Yes42c2,415$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c3c…eba5backed Yes42c2,414$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+97.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb0…278cbacked No58c2,411$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fb…756dbacked No58c2,410$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.9510250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x995b…bb97backed Yes42c2,374$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c3…992fbacked Yes42c2,361$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc158…ccb9backed No58c2,355$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6601…72ccbacked No58c2,349$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…16dfbacked Yes42c2,345$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.1560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8757…0795backed Yes42c2,342$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.36560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6f…a172backed Yes42c2,311$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea9…f9b5backed No58c2,300$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x11fe…e2a0backed Yes42c2,287$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7abb…bbc0backed No58c2,277$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a60…fbe7backed No58c2,232$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.5650%0 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a07…5a57backed Yes42c2,228$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.245100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+150%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca6a…7ac5backed No58c2,223$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dbd…9184backed No58c2,212$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1429…bc35backed No58c2,185$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ca…1a7bbacked No58c2,184$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…49d0backed No58c2,181$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…7d4abacked Yes42c2,163$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.54450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a54…903dbacked Yes42c2,152$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No60c2,127$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.833360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No19c2,124$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7225248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38ae…edb2backed Yes42c2,121$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No57c2,111$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.556836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1783…35a6backed Yes42c2,099$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+174.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7dd…8697backed Yes42c2,091$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.784100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd57…8c8ebacked Yes42c2,073$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3278…c58ebacked Yes42c2,065$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfb3…69b4backed Yes42c2,064$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6241…17dcbacked No58c2,062$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf71…1727backed Yes42c2,046$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…7a1fbacked No58c2,039$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff45…ee1dbacked No58c2,039$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.62520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-74.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4b5…3beabacked Yes42c2,021$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb262…4277backed Yes42c2,018$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e4…b1dbbacked No58c2,011$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.38850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.