La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x430b0333dbc597ea1f8b4948a1dcfac329d7bc2fee756b5da81309b9efcd7762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 11c | 4,549$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 4,456$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 2,100$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 70c | 1,442$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 71c | 1,006$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 73c | 960.74$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed Yes | 27c | 940.74$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cc…1934backed Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 29c | 724.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 29c | 463.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 308.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 21c | 276.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 12c | 213.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 66c | 162$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 158.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…8dedbacked No | 79c | 99.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 72c | 76.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 16c | 69.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…a44cbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 71c | 48.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 71c | 43.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…ee09backed Yes | 28c | 36.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 35.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 31c | 33.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0f…91c6backed No | 72c | 26.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86f…d2eebacked No | 72c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…ce79backed No | 73c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.