La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b4b9694d71408d555c4ee73d449260cadb027b27fb155bc10e7c4a5e01f645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 4c | 2,630$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 1,931$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.37 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 69c | 1,580$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 31c | 1,513$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.85 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 914.58$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.48 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 794.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 70c | 677.71$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.31 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 69c | 583.33$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 70c | 399.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 31c | 349.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 69c | 330$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…a0e9backed Yes | 31c | 203.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 70c | 201$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…9d35backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 30c | 196.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 192.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 75c | 144.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 139.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 29c | 99.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 71c | 99.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 92.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba7…ab1fbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 77.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…b3a1backed Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 70c | 75.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…0b85backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 58.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 57.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 30c | 38.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…33cabacked Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…ce79backed Yes | 31c | 34.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 70c | 32.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 191 | 55%105 W · 86 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…59e2backed No | 75c | 19.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?No won
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.