TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ca8…1a39backed Over44c19,547$8,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,518.8728746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under57c9,905$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,308.3323547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5201,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Under56c6,711$3,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.441,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Under63c6,072$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.2642050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Under55c6,001$3,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9412132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70cb…4be9backed Over44c4,598$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Over44c4,310$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.156147.5%29 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Over2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Under80c3,557$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.741,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Under55c3,174$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.9835431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Under56c2,577$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.815545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed Over30c1,929$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.036165.6%40 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over54c1,850$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Over30c1,781$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6610030%30 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Under63c1,780$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.9222654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Over3c1,741$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.916297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over43c1,626$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.1513543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over2c1,600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed Over37c1,564$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.966139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over44c1,536$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.846334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Over2c1,503$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5550569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Over4c1,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512444.4%55 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Under58c1,394$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.6121848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Over45c1,227$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.3250845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over47c1,000$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6530661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…fe28backed Over2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Over2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Over50c992.02$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002763%17 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689d…300fbacked Over19c923.4$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Over38c905.33$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.034434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Under59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36912338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Over45c889.11$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.170752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over45c865.05$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.416248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Over44c805$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.250547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Over38c797$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8323751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Over42c752$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7948448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under48c693.75$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.738438.1%32 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed Under45c671.35$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.437250%36 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2439…2e1fbacked Under59c666.52$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.246347.6%30 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Under58c662.86$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.037852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c96…763fbacked Over4c600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264914.3%7 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Over44c592.27$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.64131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Over33c571.43$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19023341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked Under60c550.2$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.222646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2d96backed Under59c508.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.482934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Over31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15586758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Under57c471.98$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.951,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over40c444.44$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.782,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a14…045cbacked Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17226234.4%90 W · 172 L-21.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18814158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9146…7246backed Under57c399.98$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.995536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Over34c399.07$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0445739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Over12c332.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5572234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Over43c322.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under63c300$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b81…c753backed Over30c294$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.22646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Over52c270.56$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5446153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Over33c270$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.118342.6%78 W · 105 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over54c269.9$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7432752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Over44c265.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11717348%83 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked Under61c265.3$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0325942.1%109 W · 150 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Under56c252.3$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0121536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over15c238.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.681,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Under66c227.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9428837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Under62c222.22$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2220756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a9f…7482backed Under70c204.37$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.192035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Under71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595461.1%33 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Under60c191.94$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7884050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Under79c177.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2212661.1%77 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Over13c168.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223930.8%12 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Over30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03bf…a94bbacked Over44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.415352.9%81 W · 72 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6056317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a66…f499backed Over42c144.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under61c140$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.670162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over45c138.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8539044.9%175 W · 215 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Over11c129.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.681766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over34c119.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.724529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Under73c118.36$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.374055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef69…cdbdbacked Over33c118.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913740.1%55 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Over33c115$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9554129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e3…9efebacked Over26c107.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…3b93backed Over47c105.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.596254.8%34 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Over36c83.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1234050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Over43c79.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.172729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022350.2%112 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over28c69.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…0f89backed Under75c69.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.183455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc0…5f47backed Under47c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b14…e02abacked Under35c59.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe65b…33e2backed Under56c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11662.5%10 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24e8…5f0abacked Over37c53.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-60.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85db…8adabacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.