Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddee483b4e9ca71805b247e49b045d8eceb67a51ec7257748489bb4236edea6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7503…aa2bbacked Over | 78c | 3,209$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.69 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 25c | 1,885$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.6 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…a56ebacked Over | 77c | 1,415$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Under | 15c | 1,313$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 23c | 944.48$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaae…4da8backed Over | 74c | 808$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 27c | 699.74$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 22c | 698.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 75c | 662.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 16c | 514.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 9c | 418.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…b5c7backed Under | 26c | 387$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…5776backed Under | 24c | 313$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Under | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 16c | 193$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 22c | 166.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…0f89backed Over | 76c | 102.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over | 77c | 99.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 24c | 88.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 29c | 68.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…d98bbacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…450cbacked Over | 79c | 48.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…41f0backed Over | 74c | 45.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Over | 73c | 40.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 75c | 39.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 80c | 39.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Under | 29c | 38.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…2716backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0c19backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Over | 76c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 70c | 14.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Over | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.