Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52face06e87979c88730586b7f68c5e12f381aa3bc5cbe5b7a8862ea29c9d783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 35,941$17,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,935.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 53c | 10,003$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.27 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 54c | 9,920$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.58 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 6,942$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.33 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Over | 44c | 6,499$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.59 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.97 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 47c | 3,938$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.19 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over | 57c | 3,885$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 2,750$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.27 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 58c | 2,395$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.83 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Over | 63c | 1,906$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 53c | 1,881$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 57c | 1,680$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Over | 64c | 1,644$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 48c | 1,527$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.53 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 1,365$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Under | 43c | 1,200$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 44c | 1,179$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.97 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 57c | 1,167$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 40c | 1,102$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.29 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 44c | 943.18$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.18 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 893.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 43c | 885.36$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.7 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 43c | 843.4$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.74 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Over | 40c | 742.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under | 51c | 708.04$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.73 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 55c | 640.14$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.02 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 46c | 604.82$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.5 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 568$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.04 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 45c | 517.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 53c | 476.85$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Over | 55c | 468.22$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 462.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.27 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Over | 58c | 439.66$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 53c | 403$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.59 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…4d3fbacked Over | 58c | 362.93$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 332.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 54c | 266.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 57c | 260.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…a3ecbacked Over | 57c | 254.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e8…c261backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 54c | 213.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 54c | 209.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…6129backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 42c | 191.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Over | 55c | 186.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 44c | 178$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 55c | 177.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Over | 57c | 175.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 55c | 175.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Over | 35c | 175$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over | 49c | 161.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 59c | 154.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Over | 25c | 145.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 55c | 143.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Over | 56c | 131.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…8a74backed Over | 56c | 113.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 55c | 112.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…09b7backed Under | 55c | 112.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 57c | 108.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…2ae3backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Over | 54c | 92.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed Over | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 47c | 91.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 55c | 90.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 45c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 57c | 85.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester United vs. Everton: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)Everton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.