Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United vs. Everton: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5368236edbdc7ebb0708016079024a497688017159506ae3a20c0584150bdb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 6,106$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.82 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 44c | 5,674$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.64 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,456$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed No | 43c | 2,455$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 59c | 2,224$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 946.07$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.8 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 58c | 944.4$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.71 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 53c | 864.16$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.33 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 712.17$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 24c | 679.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.44 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…8592backed Yes | 76c | 553.29$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 57c | 499.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 43c | 499.96$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 42c | 444$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.52 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 422$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 410.42$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.17 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 58c | 285$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 57c | 273.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 41c | 261.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Yes | 58c | 210$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…09b7backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd224…9f9bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 45c | 168.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 21c | 155$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 35c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…2352backed Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 69c | 131$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked No | 42c | 123.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…b717backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…885fbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 58c | 93.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 43c | 91.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…f625backed Yes | 56c | 78.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 43c | 51.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 55c | 45.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…a631backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…9944backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 70c | 36.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…3a06backed Yes | 57c | 36.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 45c | 35.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…cbe8backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…4e44backed Yes | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…11ccbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 46c | 31.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…9978backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…d7fdbacked Yes | 57c | 23.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…f447backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…0650backed Yes | 58c | 17.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United vs. Everton: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)Everton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.