Champions League · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0f3190aeee9fa44228a07ef6fb2a43c133da39677916493163a971e525b65e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 57c | 443.96$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 63c | 411.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 121.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…7634backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 96.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 43c | 73.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Yes | 46c | 54.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…b262backed Yes | 44c | 50.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…420ebacked Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 41c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 22.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…d2e2backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271b…28a6backed No | 63c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.