Champions League · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62767c8b6e2e9907f5ca0a37dd0edc78a95f475e5220e57bd42da8d1ea00e941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 3,152$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.51 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 15c | 1,183$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 73c | 1,053$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.42 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 58c | 521.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 66c | 455.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 443.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 420.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 57c | 392.06$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 379.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 276.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 248$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Under | 63c | 195$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 58c | 174.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 42c | 162.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…7661backed Under | 57c | 153$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 46c | 128.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…d27cbacked Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 53c | 44.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 44c | 29.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.