Champions League · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3451910e20322373bd8479ea00f3ea3aab6dea8ac4fdbb4cccec3d20893098d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 5,495$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.51 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 5,034$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.94 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 60c | 4,200$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 2,280$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.96 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 1,271$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.25 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 45c | 1,118$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 61c | 468.56$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 14c | 444$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 15c | 443$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 24c | 236.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Over | 49c | 208$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 15c | 198$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 14c | 132.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 15c | 108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…6fd6backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 16c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…d623backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 61c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 63c | 24.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.