Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x714f5bb22ab322c171007a5124fc0525de481875bcf11820452d9d629ec3b944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Páfos FCof Juventus FC, Páfos FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juventus FC | 33c | 13,141$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.48 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Páfos FC | 61c | 7,499$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.61 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Páfos FC | 61c | 2,827$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.63 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Páfos FC | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Juventus FC | 43c | 2,206$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.03 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Juventus FC | 39c | 2,003$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.9 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Páfos FC | 57c | 1,700$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Páfos FC | 60c | 1,663$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.31 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Juventus FC | 33c | 1,535$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Juventus FC | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.96 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…9b67backed Juventus FC | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Páfos FC | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Juventus FC | 26c | 1,101$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.89 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Páfos FC | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Juventus FC | 35c | 721.85$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Páfos FC | 63c | 613.9$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Juventus FC | 37c | 511.24$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.16 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Páfos FC | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Juventus FC | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Páfos FC | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Páfos FC | 61c | 400.46$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Páfos FC | 57c | 351$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Juventus FC | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Juventus FC | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Páfos FC | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Páfos FC | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Juventus FC | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Páfos FC | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Juventus FC | 41c | 96.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Páfos FC | 59c | 89.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Páfos FC | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Juventus FC | 40c | 72.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…0872backed Páfos FC | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…f10abacked Juventus FC | 42c | 57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Páfos FC | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Páfos FC | 59c | 50.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Juventus FC | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Juventus FC | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Páfos FC | 61c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Páfos FC | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…a875backed Páfos FC | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Páfos FC | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Juventus FC | 40c | 30.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Juventus FC | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Páfos FC | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d1…7164backed Páfos FC | 61c | 21.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Páfos FC | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…cefebacked Páfos FC | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…138cbacked Páfos FC | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Páfos FC | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…3c6dbacked Páfos FC | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)this page
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.