Champions League · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b8275dc364a76b2339e89bf14f75928d8a49e1194b70bb01beb5e234bbda91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 9,341$5,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.93 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 67c | 6,530$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Under | 36c | 4,154$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 30c | 3,603$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.87 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 3,551$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.92 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 47c | 3,366$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.88 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 68c | 970.59$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 39c | 881.01$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.82 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 34c | 810.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.29 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 32c | 453.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 33c | 443.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.47 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 66c | 393.94$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Over | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Over | 9c | 315$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 57c | 313.45$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over | 54c | 187$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 34c | 176$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…2302backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 35c | 147$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 34c | 140$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 31c | 135.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 69c | 133$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 67c | 99.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 36c | 77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c9…2e09backed Over | 66c | 75.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 51c | 73.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 35c | 72.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 66c | 67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 66c | 64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 66c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 67c | 51.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 32c | 48.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 35c | 45.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 54c | 31.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -10.8wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 55 | 76.4%42 W · 13 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e5ebbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.