La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee89493ae2817bd4d5fb63423fead0333a4db72d6e2da1e80a6697b96ba98c79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 62c | 1,909$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 57c | 1,142$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,011$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.34 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 957.65$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 794.39$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.14 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 6c | 659.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 60c | 169.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 65c | 168$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 45c | 107.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 36c | 82.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…4c7cbacked Yes | 33c | 47.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…5244backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 41.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 41c | 29.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.