Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf596c625a6bf92756fe06fb441acec2488a19a34dc95ff98deb27d0ad924739d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 3,922$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.23 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked No | 63c | 3,906$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 2,716$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.68 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 16c | 2,390$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.37 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 2,050$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,959$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.88 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 56c | 1,759$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.41 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,551$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.05 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 40c | 1,191$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.3 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 965.36$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.44 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 56c | 958.24$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 16c | 825$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 39c | 762.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 37c | 654.05$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 40c | 500.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…2381backed Yes | 40c | 481.05$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 40c | 452.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 18c | 428.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.7 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 355.51$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.97 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 53c | 321.43$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 188.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 74c | 171.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 156.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…0579backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes | 42c | 146.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 20c | 138.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…9075backed Yes | 40c | 124.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 41c | 122.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 42c | 100.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3c…bbb6backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 40c | 98.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 18c | 87.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 43c | 81.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 42c | 67.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 37c | 63.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +79%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 19c | 63.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 19c | 58.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 74c | 52.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…9b59backed Yes | 21c | 51.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…7253backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…cacebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 38.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…5c19backed Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…e596backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…48e4backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 56c | 22.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…8425backed Yes | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will BSC Young Boys vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.