Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will BSC Young Boys vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c6db151971962f3b3660c2698d3375b1c8256cd9ae9c08f2073ce335a5f8c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 3,170$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.65 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 2,228$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.32 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 77c | 1,658$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.05 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 37c | 1,357$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 42c | 619.05$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 500.34$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 454.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 29c | 449.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 377.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 316.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 281.7$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 16c | 250.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 242.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 22c | 167$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 22c | 107$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 96.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 22c | 87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 75c | 79.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 67c | 70.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 75c | 27.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 77c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BSC Young Boys vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?this page
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.