TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes61c32,796$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No39c29,240$11,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,836.683951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes61c9,196$5,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,581.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes58c6,535$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c6,032$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.732,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No42c4,308$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.873444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c3,642$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.5184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c3,602$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.7619934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No44c3,268$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.3252243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8305536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No38c2,588$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.9635158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes62c2,336$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4443360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes59c2,253$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.194639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes54c1,990$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.63259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No79c1,901$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.871883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked No47c1,703$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.752240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed No74c1,610$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No41c1,105$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.292576%19 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f3b…be48backed No40c988.87$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes62c807.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b14…f343backed No43c770$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes60c761.9$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.048420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x63ac…3891backed Yes58c750$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes19c748.8$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381e…3f00backed No43c740$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc9…0b56backed Yes58c720$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c7…581ebacked No43c710$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No55c592.93$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.176139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes25c587.27$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+171.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes61c336.04$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes59c329.66$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No76c329$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.966033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No41c328.26$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9133847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c313.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.174155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes56c283.51$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49b…adf9backed No76c275$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2f…34b0backed Yes20c275$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes61c272.13$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1661136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No39c260$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.67145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes46c234.58$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.51520%3 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981d…0741backed Yes8c230$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-55.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56da…fca2backed Yes60c208.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c180$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.813666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No49c179.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1742844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes30c168.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No39c164.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.084748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes62c161.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No73c152.05$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.051968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes60c151.73$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes58c140.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.098240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes20c139.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.324522.2%10 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes61c114.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No69c113$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7710544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No46c108$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3212545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes22c105$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0311644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No38c101.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.095058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No45c101.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.538239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Yes31c96.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No40c83.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7510360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No40c81.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.074042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c77.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.083,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No45c73.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.381816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked No41c71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Yes61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes61c63.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No43c56.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.081872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed Yes57c51.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.192133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked No40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c48.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2231849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf038…c40ebacked No76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed No42c33.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No50c31.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.832650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Yes59c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes58c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.088027.5%22 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.