TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Sebastian Korda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zhengof Zheng, Korda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8339…caa9backed Korda0c120,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016355.8%91 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zheng52c13,267$6,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,329.88,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Korda34c12,116$4,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.2313844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Korda0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107356.2%41 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Zheng51c5,270$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.141,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Zheng61c4,892$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.091,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Korda62c4,158$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.175563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Korda49c4,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Zheng25c3,932$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.4818237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Zheng55c3,642$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.972839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Zheng25c2,942$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.462,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Korda55c2,844$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.7493055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Korda45c2,724$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.282,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Korda75c2,678$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Zheng67c2,533$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.892733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Korda35c2,284$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.931,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Korda35c2,262$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.4322641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Zheng45c2,109$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.0314536.6%53 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Korda39c2,088$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.72,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Korda49c2,043$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Korda75c1,645$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.348158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Zheng38c1,529$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.12,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb101…5024backed Korda46c1,498$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Zheng28c1,346$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.1231332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Zheng77c1,334$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.34654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Korda53c1,282$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.2213351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Zheng68c1,149$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6862061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Zheng56c1,075$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.64,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Korda51c976.18$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.8538348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ce…b596backed Korda62c967.75$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Korda52c940.03$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.825457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zheng56c931.13$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Korda54c869.78$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.947057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Zheng37c855.07$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.7219023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Korda70c711.48$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Korda48c676.7$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7330744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Zheng40c669.56$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.6329553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Korda73c646.99$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.31,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Korda78c641.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Korda33c636.81$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9712631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x851e…05adbacked Zheng56c633.93$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Zheng60c611.74$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.825542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Korda75c570.54$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9129654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d5…4af2backed Korda76c551.78$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.351428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Korda58c505$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.61625%4 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Korda48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zheng51c478.05$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.657,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Korda43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Korda35c460.83$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.862445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Korda55c458.64$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506833.8%23 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Korda21c448.45$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.442857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Korda66c425.43$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.553737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Zheng52c419.25$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.962,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Zheng26c392.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.122133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Korda50c365.75$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.472,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Korda14c357.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.123444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Zheng51c352.4$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9818551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Zheng43c342.64$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.672,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Korda35c320.69$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.985343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Korda73c282.23$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.031,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Zheng63c280.98$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.192462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Zheng63c280.9$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.924844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Korda37c275.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.87644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Korda41c274.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.36043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…5bc2backed Korda73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Zheng56c269$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.611,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Zheng21c267.27$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0912752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Zheng56c260.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7142558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Korda47c260.14$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3226535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed Korda36c252.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.63812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-80.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Korda48c249.86$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Korda66c246.97$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1635860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Zheng42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.19955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Zheng39c233.52$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5212344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Zheng27c222.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2237444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Korda35c214.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7770148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Zheng28c200$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14543042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Korda55c199.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9916133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8f…8ed0backed Korda57c183.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.954736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Zheng61c180.85$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.852369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Korda35c159.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5593…a484backed Korda74c155.44$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb878…e3e2backed Korda48c148.09$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.941855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aef…f6debacked Korda62c147.72$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Zheng42c145.15$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.925944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Zheng68c144.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.852,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Korda74c134.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Zheng59c131.51$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5122744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Zheng61c127.85$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.475038%19 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Zheng25c124.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7327944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Zheng55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5421346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Korda55c117.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.658825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Zheng54c111.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3311553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Zheng66c108.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.835149%25 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Korda35c106.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.271040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Zheng33c106.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7510827.8%30 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f93…dd62backed Korda44c104.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Korda43c101$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.821,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Korda50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5082560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff2…d10fbacked Zheng55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.