TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes76c4,000$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No20c3,523$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.8937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes49c2,415$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.174151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c2,147$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.571,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c2,118$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.831,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked No49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No48c1,549$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.326060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes52c1,025$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes52c976.91$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.923729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No50c823.59$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.563333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No49c638.29$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.762347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes51c607$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.435942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa0…833bbacked Yes50c600.42$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c576.85$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes50c522$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2619140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.992040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No50c323.06$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5323153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Yes76c314.47$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.47366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No21c310$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes69c307.27$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No46c275.93$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No25c227.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.39535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No48c219.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4213655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c197.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No24c168.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e8…5b74backed Yes44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No49c127.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.397252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c111.03$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked No49c104$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ad…887abacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf96d…842cbacked Yes51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed No49c86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.141040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x554f…afb4backed No25c69.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes51c50.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.717540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.759767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed No49c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Yes52c47.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.741435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Yes51c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No48c41.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df0…7eb8backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed Yes51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a71…4f0fbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c0…7253backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc133…81ebbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x002e…f201backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4624051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.35446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a3…56d0backed Yes74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes70c33.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.054742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Yes76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157746.8%36 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Yes51c30.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.972737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Yes52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked Yes51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Yes51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.215100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b8d…b0dcbacked No52c28.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x851d…2ff5backed Yes50c28.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3689…f704backed Yes50c27.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecac…eadfbacked No51c26.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Yes51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.74683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8c…465bbacked Yes50c25.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.661050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6f…f93fbacked No50c25.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de6…67b5backed Yes51c25.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.39580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes50c25.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5826845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Yes51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bcc…ec3cbacked No51c24.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd94c…57f3backed No51c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x073e…cf8bbacked Yes50c24.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.24887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff8…9295backed No50c24.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…7953backed Yes51c24.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Yes51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…31e6backed Yes51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…722fbacked Yes50c22.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de4…b2f8backed No52c22.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8762…4681backed No52c22.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92e9…3ca3backed Yes50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52568%17 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.