Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe2611726f903b5dc1d53dc1d6f63c08ec41cd8ae2f820ee949132fed76ecb62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 1,473$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,275$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 726$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 72c | 726$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 503.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 71c | 386.16$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 5c | 311.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…21e9backed No | 73c | 243.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…48b6backed No | 73c | 241.1$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…8915backed No | 73c | 239.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 234.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…41b5backed No | 73c | 223.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…1e05backed No | 73c | 187.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1749…797fbacked No | 73c | 184.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 167.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99dd…6f77backed No | 73c | 145.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 78c | 67.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 28c | 63.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 29c | 51.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 75c | 44.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…701ebacked Yes | 30c | 42.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 72c | 34.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.