TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c17,114$7,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,588.4571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes57c14,211$8,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,071.048447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No47c12,530$5,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,876.7710752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed Yes53c10,997$5,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,150.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c10,539$5,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,239.481,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No41c8,827$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,619.254052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes40c5,057$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.072040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No39c4,628$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.052360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c4,621$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c3,277$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.461,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes62c2,516$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.4624642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes79c2,426$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.4626040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes66c2,420$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.161283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes46c2,072$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.6633938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No50c1,518$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7595757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes60c1,307$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.564346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes58c1,271$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.6519055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes61c1,232$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.482650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No54c1,034$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.899348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes60c1,005$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4102638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes58c970.77$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.9523153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes52c674.92$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.571580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes59c645.36$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No50c600.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes58c501.12$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes66c481.31$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7520232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes62c460$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.85757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes47c450$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.55556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No44c448.04$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.957252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No42c435.32$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8512339.8%49 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c427.92$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7615071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No59c396.5$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No65c383.8$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.921776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Yes52c362.85$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes55c361.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No64c340.85$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.111650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No39c335.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.912343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes55c331.06$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.061533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cdb…4851backed Yes58c322.71$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes48c314.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes58c310.34$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.344546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No43c305$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes57c300$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.62850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.242548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No41c245$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4511644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes59c241.15$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.741643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No39c239$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.044348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes58c226.36$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes59c211.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8227244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes52c192.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.261040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f1…ce5fbacked Yes37c187$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3688…7567backed Yes59c181$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.081338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No42c170$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c159$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1924044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes52c155.37$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.584751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes59c152.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.549657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes58c152.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes52c151.65$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.792128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0415…6576backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes58c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9326845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c119.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6828448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.45850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes35c92.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.641040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes34c89.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.931811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No52c89.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes59c88.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3423151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes59c86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.614337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a6…8297backed Yes59c84.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes58c84.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes58c84.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.313852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No41c76.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.197946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes39c74.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.362317.4%4 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xca96…a629backed Yes58c72.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed Yes25c71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.977044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No42c67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1412050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2214…74ebbacked Yes59c59.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes59c58.84$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.84850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.723562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.