Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2928713a153c08dd216099f7a8883c30d2d6ce2c7d3e4bf703f7860a031dbb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 35c | 2,701$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.76 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 49c | 2,037$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,864$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.33 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,747$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 1,399$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.18 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 752$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 46c | 545.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 431.07$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 315$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes | 42c | 246.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 62c | 246.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 54c | 208.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 198.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 45c | 185.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Yes | 55c | 185.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 60c | 169.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 66c | 123.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 65c | 108.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…8297backed Yes | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 76c | 44.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 76c | 43.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…984abacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 77c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.