TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under39c13,082$5,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,058.9358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Over61c10,294$6,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.58955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c8,926$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.051,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c6,123$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.681,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Over72c5,555$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over61c3,290$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.541258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Over59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Over61c2,433$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x753b…3d0fbacked Over59c2,203$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Under41c2,203$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under39c1,867$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.2339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under38c1,396$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.2937544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over61c1,354$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.13333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c1,089$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.067065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…7661backed Over60c882$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.464153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under28c572.41$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Under40c500.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under37c459.6$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1910744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under45c449.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under39c444$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1618950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under39c409$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.515322.6%12 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over60c299.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf95d…ca8dbacked Under32c299.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Over58c272$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2411950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Over58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over61c255.7$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.512450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under31c241.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6921745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under28c232.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1834342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over60c230.08$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7638343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over60c168.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.336248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over60c168$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.093455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over61c164.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.071776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under41c164$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Under40c150.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606431.3%20 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked Over61c141$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under40c127$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over62c120.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.972650%13 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over57c116.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under39c103.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.554744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455834.5%20 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+67.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over61c99.55$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.551450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over59c87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under39c83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over62c81.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over59c77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over59c76.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c71.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9338253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.676253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over60c59.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.746068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.325658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over59c54.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.544949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over59c54.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.242951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under40c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over61c49.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4510465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.182060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under40c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.660%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06da…0a4abacked Under41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Under41c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c43.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9419856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Over66c43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Over60c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.328450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Over60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8009…ca1bbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a4…2770backed Under36c36.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over61c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under40c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dba…cb27backed Over61c32.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817c…9e7cbacked Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.267145.1%32 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.322356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2f…420ebacked Over61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…7253backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+87.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under40c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.240%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Over61c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under40c26.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5317053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over60c25.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.334266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4e…3725backed Over61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Over61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.754746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bd…a24abacked Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.