TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,082 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed Over39c11,860$4,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,237.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c7,282$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1141,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c6,329$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.642,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Over71c6,089$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under45c3,225$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.7658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under42c2,370$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under57c2,135$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2204238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under50c1,630$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.912552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over50c821.04$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Over75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4963844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over39c763.09$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9139746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Over79c654$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.344555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653c…506cbacked Under63c634.93$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over39c616.23$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.94355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37237544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under44c516.37$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0510744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over64c466.83$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.063636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c456.86$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.377456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under61c443.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8319150.3%96 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under61c400.81$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.492744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Over32c390.63$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.633933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under63c347$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…4683backed Under63c337.02$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.32714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-79%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over33c335.33$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.726633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over35c307.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c65…81d2backed Over39c282.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c258.93$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1321745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under63c237$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Under63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1248038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over76c188.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9210465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over38c170.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.693354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Over37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.161338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over37c152$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4938043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over53c145$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.65459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Under69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under70c143.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c138.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.459841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over76c136.49$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.769863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under64c124.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4c…57acbacked Over80c119.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.943444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.163455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a04…d57dbacked Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over41c97.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.522653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c96.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2938748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Over37c90$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+121.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Over38c77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Over37c71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Over37c66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Over37c62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Over37c58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Over50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed Over38c56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd45…4c8bbacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+102.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadf0…5dc5backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Under33c49.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.692035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0729142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over63c47.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.441450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over71c46.06$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.191770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over56c42.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under63c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c41.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Under63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under62c39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.184949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Over57c38.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.692050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under61c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Over38c37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over37c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6843427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Over38c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Under62c32.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over49c31.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0811450.9%58 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x097f…df92backed Under63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under63c31.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.922450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Under65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7a…2ecabacked Over56c30.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.222356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.798450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.593036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under63c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.