Champions League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5e163af012421bbecd687235db6ff8111ff1944972ceeed720d17c7e4cb2cac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 64c | 1,540$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 1,278$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.47 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 40c | 1,173$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.78 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 29c | 1,100$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 60c | 875.09$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.54 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 37c | 811.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 63c | 790.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 39c | 769.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 649.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 63c | 624.81$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.18 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 569$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 60c | 529.28$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 37c | 443.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 316.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 60c | 305.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 37c | 301.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…d57dbacked No | 38c | 100.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 65.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 35c | 63.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Yes | 63c | 53.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed Yes | 62c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 38c | 34.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 39c | 32.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…420ebacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.