Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b800b7b23723b406195a07ed0900ed8c4428f2fe73852d6979a6d41e5bd02d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 33c | 22,813$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 9,960$6,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.8 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 7,271$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.43 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 68c | 2,777$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.64 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 1,629$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.35 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 65c | 1,550$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.5 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 32c | 1,352$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.65 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,262$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.37 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,018$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 563$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 67c | 486.92$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 367.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 28c | 358.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 32c | 331.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 30c | 225$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 32c | 155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 33c | 151.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 32c | 122$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 32c | 101$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked No | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 72c | 36.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 30c | 33.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…7253backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked No | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked No | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 67c | 19.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…afe5backed No | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 75c | 16.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.