Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70efe3686ce49e0bc7b32aa4a907a3194bef5eff8dc475cbc757cecc96bd4b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 1,484$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.71 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 964.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 57c | 961.4$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 40c | 725$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 723.57$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.08 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…6ae0backed Yes | 80c | 593.78$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 403.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 353.66$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 235.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 226$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 39c | 164.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 39c | 139$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 116$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 17c | 111.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 39c | 88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 20c | 87.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 80.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 61c | 67.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 19c | 65.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 43c | 60.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…bb88backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 62c | 59.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked No | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed No | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 59c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed No | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed No | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 41c | 32.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…931ebacked Yes | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Yes | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 40c | 28.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 46c | 26.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 61c | 24.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 24.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 61c | 19.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
- Will Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.