Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b8443ec10af2dab72458d150a6802ee685f7802ff36e6fd9e42bd363801e71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hobart Hurricanesof Hobart Hurricanes, Sydney Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6650…04febacked Sydney Thunder | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Sydney Thunder | 8c | 8,205$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.72 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Hobart Hurricanes | 61c | 4,320$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.42 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sydney Thunder | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sydney Thunder | 33c | 1,720$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.7 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…56f1backed Sydney Thunder | 38c | 1,699$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Hobart Hurricanes | 67c | 1,605$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 72c | 1,587$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.79 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…c2d9backed Sydney Thunder | 36c | 1,181$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hobart Hurricanes | 63c | 999.89$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.67 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Hobart Hurricanes | 64c | 959$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…0119backed Hobart Hurricanes | 62c | 951$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…2edfbacked Sydney Thunder | 37c | 890$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…0494backed Sydney Thunder | 32c | 859.82$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…8635backed Hobart Hurricanes | 62c | 748$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Hobart Hurricanes | 78c | 709.94$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Sydney Thunder | 43c | 685.76$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Hobart Hurricanes | 58c | 666.61$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sydney Thunder | 29c | 631.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…60cdbacked Sydney Thunder | 38c | 626$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…40f4backed Hobart Hurricanes | 63c | 580$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Sydney Thunder | 39c | 510.31$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sydney Thunder | 4c | 451.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…c98cbacked Sydney Thunder | 5c | 379.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Sydney Thunder | 41c | 343.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…cdffbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 62c | 326$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…72f1backed Hobart Hurricanes | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 62c | 308.29$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Sydney Thunder | 31c | 297$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…effcbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 64c | 252$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…a87abacked Hobart Hurricanes | 56c | 221.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Sydney Thunder | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked Sydney Thunder | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Sydney Thunder | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…1948backed Sydney Thunder | 36c | 193.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…0483backed Hobart Hurricanes | 58c | 184.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Sydney Thunder | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Sydney Thunder | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Sydney Thunder | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Sydney Thunder | 36c | 138.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Hobart Hurricanes | 66c | 133.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 56c | 112.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Sydney Thunder | 40c | 110.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sydney Thunder | 34c | 104.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Sydney Thunder | 11c | 100.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Hobart Hurricanes | 70c | 100.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed Hobart Hurricanes | 57c | 95.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 61c | 86.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…1fd6backed Sydney Thunder | 31c | 76.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…d4c4backed Sydney Thunder | 21c | 62.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…d9d9backed Sydney Thunder | 37c | 54.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sydney Thunder | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Sydney Thunder | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…df67backed Hobart Hurricanes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Hobart Hurricanes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed Hobart Hurricanes | 64c | 47.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Hobart Hurricanes | 57c | 45.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…3789backed Sydney Thunder | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…e5ccbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…9b07backed Sydney Thunder | 32c | 37.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…8e1dbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 64c | 34.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…e453backed Hobart Hurricanes | 66c | 33.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Sydney Thunder | 34c | 33.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…28cbbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…b002backed Hobart Hurricanes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Hobart Hurricanes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…0dffbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 70c | 28.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…3f83backed Sydney Thunder | 47c | 25.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed Sydney Thunder | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hobart Hurricanes | 62c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Hobart Hurricanes | 64c | 23.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed Hobart Hurricanes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…18b3backed Hobart Hurricanes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.