NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaca3c792f030c897d98ea2f8a824d1842a3f31d054baf9523623270b8a8cea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,127,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,346,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,127,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 839 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Heat | 53c | 174,683$92,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,101.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed 76ers | 21c | 113,106$23,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,639.99 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed 76ers | 49c | 88,655$43,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,234.23 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 63c | 79,836$50,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,245.71 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers | 50c | 72,563$36,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,139.06 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 35c | 37,975$13,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,159.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed 76ers | 49c | 36,345$17,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,809.1 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 63c | 35,767$22,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,222.71 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed 76ers | 16c | 35,000$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.5 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Heat | 51c | 32,444$16,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,040.59 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed 76ers | 49c | 28,069$13,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,753.86 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked 76ers | 50c | 27,414$13,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,644.27 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked 76ers | 29c | 25,843$7,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,528.65 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 76ers | 51c | 23,552$12,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,075.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 49c | 20,368$9,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,426.32 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Heat | 49c | 20,000$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed 76ers | 38c | 19,675$7,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,439.21 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 49c | 18,936$9,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,233.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…29bdbacked 76ers | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers | 18c | 15,940$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.09 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Heat | 51c | 15,552$7,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.44 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed 76ers | 29c | 15,471$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.06 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed 76ers | 50c | 14,998$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 49c | 12,333$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,005.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Heat | 53c | 10,921$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.49 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 49c | 10,664$5,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185.58 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Heat | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked 76ers | 50c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Heat | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.95 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed 76ers | 36c | 9,999$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.39 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked 76ers | 51c | 9,819$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 51c | 9,520$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.66 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers | 51c | 9,127$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.42 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Heat | 52c | 8,458$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.92 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers | 33c | 8,039$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.7 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Heat | 49c | 7,843$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.85 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 76ers | 31c | 7,670$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed 76ers | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Heat | 71c | 7,378$5,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.35 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 76ers | 33c | 7,215$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.19 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Heat | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5962backed 76ers | 19c | 6,520$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed 76ers | 31c | 6,135$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…fe76backed 76ers | 50c | 5,875$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2187backed Heat | 50c | 5,869$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 50c | 5,543$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.09 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…0aa5backed 76ers | 47c | 5,360$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed 76ers | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.96 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Heat | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.7 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8892…99f9backed Heat | 49c | 4,660$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.95 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…45adbacked 76ers | 50c | 4,653$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 30c | 4,568$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed 76ers | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed 76ers | 41c | 4,278$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…cd30backed 76ers | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Heat | 66c | 4,012$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…e857backed Heat | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…3e53backed 76ers | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 19c | 3,839$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…48d7backed Heat | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…0586backed 76ers | 51c | 3,800$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Heat | 49c | 3,595$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.23 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed 76ers | 2c | 3,510$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Heat | 69c | 3,406$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.69 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed 76ers | 38c | 3,300$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…ade4backed 76ers | 43c | 3,093$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Heat | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed 76ers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers | 50c | 3,000$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.61 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Heat | 52c | 2,958$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.69 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 76ers | 28c | 2,923$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.68 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 51c | 2,718$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.56 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…d161backed Heat | 51c | 2,642$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 48c | 2,591$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.05 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…3ae7backed 76ers | 22c | 2,425$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Heat | 73c | 2,417$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.17 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 48c | 2,407$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.19 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed 76ers | 44c | 2,219$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.83 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked 76ers | 49c | 2,088$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.12 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Heat | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Heat | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed 76ers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed 76ers | 48c | 2,000$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.34 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers | 47c | 1,997$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.68 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…d9a6backed Heat | 49c | 1,993$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…b757backed 76ers | 52c | 1,993$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848a…bb13backed 76ers | 52c | 1,988$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf506…9912backed Heat | 49c | 1,979$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Heat | 51c | 1,979$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.98 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Heat | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed 76ers | 50c | 1,926$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.97 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed 76ers | 33c | 1,867$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.23 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…d599backed Heat | 61c | 1,850$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed 76ers | 51c | 1,741$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.91 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…8cadbacked 76ers | 26c | 1,725$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…58f0backed Heat | 52c | 1,724$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. 76ersthis page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Heat won
- Heat vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.