Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Storm Hunter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635b3bb5cfdd1b79625169be9138bff32e85b2da8c9bd428ee211ed063cd1a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kartalof Kartal, Hunter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Hunter | 6c | 2,123$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hunter | 6c | 864.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Hunter | 4c | 834.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Hunter | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Hunter | 17c | 435.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked Hunter | 11c | 334$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hunter | 11c | 310.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Hunter | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hunter | 18c | 159$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Hunter | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Hunter | 14c | 107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hunter | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…a87abacked Hunter | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hunter | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.