NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb32fe19b832ea8a0c2e1a752b493c74428eace9eef3183b666db73f685a737b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Knicks | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Knicks | 64c | 1,568$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 12c | 1,290$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 40c | 1,160$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4307…5d66backed Knicks | 16c | 542.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Knicks | 29c | 403.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c184backed Knicks | 35c | 372.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Pacers | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pacers | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Knicks | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 37c | 193.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…a87abacked Pacers | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Knicks | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Knicks | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…6af8backed Knicks | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Knicks | 61c | 53.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Pacers | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…9ffabacked Knicks | 63c | 46.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Pacers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Pacers | 46c | 34.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Knicks | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Knicks vs. PacersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.