TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,787 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c22,943$11,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,033.721,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under47c17,108$8,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,05576746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under47c16,114$7,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,573.5829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…9a61backed Under49c11,970$5,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,861.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f4…1fafbacked Over51c11,800$6,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,782250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Under1c11,689$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8939018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c8,252$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over51c7,837$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,844.648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Under51c5,271$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1512555.2%69 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over53c3,046$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.841,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Under49c2,656$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.397347.9%35 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ee…f66cbacked Under49c2,598$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00b2…cf16backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf391…3fc7backed Under47c2,021$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over55c1,364$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6465339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under27c1,035$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8321243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over53c956.68$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6435651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under47c798$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0650047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c711.75$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.422,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd2e…a938backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0792…13bcbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4a…e6d7backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb56…afa3backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89aa…a3d9backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb48…9873backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37b…093dbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ead…6106backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f9…c8a0backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa252…3b58backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc35c…2c99backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f96…60b9backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8294…1825backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a4…ea69backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba03…e2b9backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…02a2backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5705…1709backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f52…1572backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x467b…a0bdbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973b…127abacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1f…b309backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4a…0dcebacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…815ebacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbf…dd49backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf771…1fcbbacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb01e…d33abacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b33…4d01backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef3…985bbacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f6f…2162backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd609…43b5backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa28d…e9fdbacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x960e…5976backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f6c…c849backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2880…87dabacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95bb…d783backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf8c…a1b9backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb49f…752abacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb03…1f88backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd42d…f821backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fd…7320backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0e…c170backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x431e…fe6ebacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1434…fddfbacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x021d…bec4backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x470d…879fbacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c2…8a94backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5962…1426backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc681…7378backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…119bbacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…3ce0backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ad…8486backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab60…e882backed Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd24…99d0backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2632…f5fcbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb654…c7a9backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…e61ebacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…4adcbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd380…ddc0backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe458…0334backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…2d1cbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb24f…49acbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9813…49c8backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7119…3a5fbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeab…a0ecbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fca4backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…cce1backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ad…c759backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…7b33backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf573…35b4backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc493…98dabacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6edd…2ef2backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5a…c108backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb46e…e589backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e3…bc02backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7c…8387backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb685…26fdbacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…1d6ebacked Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…7fa5backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bf…5ef7backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.