NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ddd48d0f62cb35c20363acc33d11d830697945c46b063fd4dd3dad0bb490b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Knicks | 49c | 300,000$147,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,000 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Pacers | 51c | 249,372$127,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,192.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Knicks | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers | 51c | 57,415$29,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,132.62 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 50c | 56,448$28,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,223.77 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Pacers | 51c | 50,191$25,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,595.7 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 47c | 38,909$18,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,245.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Pacers | 54c | 31,189$16,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,354.83 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Pacers | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.99 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 51c | 21,269$10,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,421.74 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Knicks | 48c | 19,435$9,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,328.9 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 49c | 16,607$8,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,071.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed Pacers | 51c | 16,103$8,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,902.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Knicks | 49c | 12,978$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.22 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pacers | 50c | 12,795$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,390.07 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24e…7730backed Knicks | 52c | 12,546$6,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 50c | 12,053$6,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,025.73 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 49c | 10,842$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.07 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…55c5backed Knicks | 49c | 10,238$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…87c4backed Knicks | 49c | 10,208$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…7d9dbacked Knicks | 49c | 10,208$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…8b49backed Knicks | 49c | 7,378$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 50c | 7,132$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.97 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Knicks | 48c | 6,597$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Pacers | 52c | 5,815$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks | 48c | 5,017$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.28 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Pacers | 52c | 4,803$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Pacers | 50c | 4,750$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.48 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Knicks | 47c | 4,717$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 48c | 4,652$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pacers | 51c | 4,625$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.83 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Knicks | 48c | 4,402$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.96 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Knicks | 48c | 4,161$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…53eabacked Knicks | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Pacers | 52c | 4,029$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Pacers | 47c | 3,517$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.77 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 46c | 3,413$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Knicks | 50c | 3,376$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Pacers | 52c | 3,127$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Pacers | 49c | 2,960$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.6 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Knicks | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Knicks | 48c | 2,615$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers | 53c | 2,591$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.18 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Knicks | 49c | 2,337$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.28 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks | 49c | 2,193$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.56 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Pacers | 51c | 2,029$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.41 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pacers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Knicks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Pacers | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.74 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…a0afbacked Knicks | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Pacers | 51c | 1,680$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Knicks | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.19 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 51c | 1,275$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Knicks | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers | 50c | 1,047$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.36 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers | 54c | 1,046$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.24 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Pacers | 52c | 984.5$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.56 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 48c | 928.62$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.74 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers | 50c | 770$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Pacers | 51c | 721$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.29 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Pacers | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.88 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Pacers | 52c | 678$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.44 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Pacers | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Knicks | 52c | 564$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Knicks | 50c | 559.11$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Knicks | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Knicks | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Knicks | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…8887backed Knicks | 10c | 459.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Pacers | 56c | 437.34$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Pacers | 50c | 424.4$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Knicks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 51c | 398.04$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 44c | 397.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Knicks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Pacers | 52c | 390$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pacers | 52c | 385$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Knicks | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…b116backed Knicks | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Pacers | 51c | 297.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Pacers | 51c | 296.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Pacers | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Pacers | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Knicks | 49c | 218.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Knicks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pacers | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Knicks | 49c | 207.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…88e2backed Knicks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Knicks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…01a3backed Knicks | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pacers | 50c | 201$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Knicks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Knicks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- Knicks vs. PacersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.