NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03e82c6ae755f5199e7f1a863f26b69c781a4149ceb9fb30b8c0ed83f143b7b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 64c | 3,108$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.39 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over | 59c | 997.01$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.77 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 819.66$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 35c | 800.9$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.32 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 39c | 691.36$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 64c | 600$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 384.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Over | 79c | 277.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 61c | 247.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 43c | 233.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 59c | 167.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 161.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 36c | 158.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 157.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Over | 66c | 151.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 61c | 133$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 131$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Over | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 31c | 58.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 42c | 42.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 65c | 41.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 60c | 36.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 41c | 32.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…2635backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…276fbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5this page
- Knicks vs. PacersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.