NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c73c21e54f04ba11436d3ea1c8aabcf2d8d1d4a6e03b55091b200985f05ea5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 52c | 5,774$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.81 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Pacers | 48c | 4,785$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.2 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 47c | 3,673$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Knicks | 54c | 2,726$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.39 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers | 46c | 2,115$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.1 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.83 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 47c | 958.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Knicks | 55c | 913.02$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Knicks | 55c | 641.3$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Knicks | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…83a9backed Knicks | 47c | 494.34$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Pacers | 51c | 422.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Knicks | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 47c | 322.78$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef31…1798backed Knicks | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pacers | 45c | 299.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Pacers | 45c | 291.02$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Pacers | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Pacers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Knicks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 46c | 188.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Knicks | 55c | 181.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Knicks | 54c | 179.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pacers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Knicks | 53c | 127.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Pacers | 51c | 126.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Knicks | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Pacers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 40c | 102.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked Pacers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Knicks | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Knicks | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Knicks | 54c | 99.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Knicks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Knicks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Pacers | 51c | 81.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 47c | 76.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Knicks | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pacers | 47c | 68.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Knicks | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 47c | 63.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Knicks | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Knicks | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Pacers | 51c | 42.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Pacers | 51c | 40.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Knicks | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Knicks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Knicks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Knicks | 55c | 35.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…6045backed Knicks | 54c | 30.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 48c | 26.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Knicks | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba82…600bbacked Knicks | 52c | 25.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Knicks | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Pacers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
- Knicks vs. PacersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.