NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x674703a2e557b291c25332fb018f8f248ae2fddad91e35d054744818be1f24b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 49c | 60,745$29,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,992.45 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 20,729$10,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,283.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 51c | 4,964$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.12 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…cf16backed Under | 50c | 4,356$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…94fdbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 50c | 3,585$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.4 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 3,472$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.04 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 53c | 2,902$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.81 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…9beabacked Over | 47c | 2,674$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…6e0dbacked Under | 53c | 2,654$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…4999backed Over | 47c | 2,406$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2640…3aacbacked Under | 53c | 2,390$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea44…467bbacked Over | 47c | 2,344$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…6d5ebacked Under | 53c | 2,329$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…9d3dbacked Over | 47c | 2,156$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…6f4abacked Under | 53c | 2,125$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 50c | 2,106$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8c…0f78backed Under | 53c | 2,026$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 1,975$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.5 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…0e34backed Over | 47c | 1,944$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.21 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 768$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 50c | 507$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 53c | 484.91$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.91 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Under | 50c | 196.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 176.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 53c | 145.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 53c | 93.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 44c | 64.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Over | 53c | 48.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Over | 53c | 46.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 51c | 46.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5this page
- Knicks vs. PacersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.