Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc1720a76b2a00f3fe5f981fa1c84bd8305a1483f104b719160e9896cd49a3d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Snigurof Yuan, Snigur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Snigur | 66c | 60,000$39,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,476.03 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yuan | 39c | 34,211$13,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,497.51 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Snigur | 48c | 17,637$8,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,103.83 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yuan | 35c | 13,405$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Yuan | 44c | 8,531$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Snigur | 65c | 8,496$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.37 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Yuan | 43c | 7,863$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.71 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yuan | 39c | 7,050$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.72 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yuan | 39c | 5,231$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.81 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuan | 36c | 4,537$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Yuan | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Yuan | 28c | 2,561$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yuan | 36c | 2,495$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.93 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Yuan | 27c | 2,167$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.97 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Snigur | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yuan | 33c | 1,796$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.57 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yuan | 42c | 1,780$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.18 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Yuan | 30c | 1,679$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.89 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yuan | 37c | 1,673$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.85 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yuan | 38c | 1,612$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.27 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Snigur | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Snigur | 65c | 1,542$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.66 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Snigur | 56c | 1,517$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.58 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Snigur | 57c | 1,480$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.86 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Snigur | 64c | 1,440$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.9 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Snigur | 45c | 1,400$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.98 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yuan | 42c | 1,392$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.88 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Snigur | 75c | 1,338$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.8 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Snigur | 68c | 1,326$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yuan | 38c | 1,277$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.93 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yuan | 41c | 1,231$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Snigur | 51c | 1,136$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.33 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Yuan | 30c | 1,112$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.77 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Snigur | 64c | 1,097$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.37 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Snigur | 64c | 1,030$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yuan | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yuan | 36c | 972$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Snigur | 39c | 943.72$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.67 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yuan | 39c | 821$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yuan | 35c | 810.83$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.18 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yuan | 31c | 765.02$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Snigur | 62c | 764$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.22 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Snigur | 62c | 732.4$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Snigur | 74c | 630$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yuan | 33c | 604$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Snigur | 63c | 582.54$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…ab87backed Snigur | 54c | 575.74$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Yuan | 37c | 538.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yuan | 31c | 516.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yuan | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Yuan | 35c | 512.52$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Snigur | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Snigur | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Snigur | 63c | 477.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.46 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yuan | 41c | 452.28$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Snigur | 57c | 438.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Yuan | 41c | 436.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Yuan | 46c | 431.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Yuan | 49c | 430.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Yuan | 37c | 429.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Snigur | 64c | 429$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Yuan | 27c | 403.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Snigur | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Snigur | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yuan | 40c | 376.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…2365backed Snigur | 40c | 375.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yuan | 42c | 374.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Snigur | 74c | 367.57$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Snigur | 62c | 360$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Snigur | 64c | 354.44$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…9c6bbacked Yuan | 31c | 329.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yuan | 34c | 326.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yuan | 35c | 324.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yuan | 35c | 308.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Snigur | 57c | 305$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Snigur | 62c | 305$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yuan | 27c | 303.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yuan | 34c | 300.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yuan | 54c | 289.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yuan | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yuan | 36c | 269.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yuan | 29c | 267.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Snigur | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yuan | 39c | 258.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…57febacked Yuan | 34c | 249.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Snigur | 60c | 235.09$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yuan | 39c | 232.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Snigur | 66c | 226.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Snigur | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Snigur | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Snigur | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yuan | 42c | 181.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Snigur | 74c | 176.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Snigur | 53c | 163.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yuan | 34c | 160.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc1…a1e6backed Yuan | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yuan | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Snigur | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Yuan | 37c | 145.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yuan | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigurthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Yuan vs SnigurYuan won
- Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Yuan (+1.5)Yuan won
- Yuan vs. Snigur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.