Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Sorana Cirstea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6446a633995c1b95cdd6f38df22d208a0f3874a8192d43b27feea45ea813a3f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cirsteaof Potapova, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Potapova | 36c | 100,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,999.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cirstea | 67c | 47,049$31,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,671.59 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Potapova | 33c | 14,404$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.56 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cirstea | 69c | 13,864$9,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Cirstea | 67c | 13,133$8,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.76 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cirstea | 73c | 8,946$6,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Potapova | 12c | 8,394$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Cirstea | 55c | 8,139$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.16 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cirstea | 74c | 6,231$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.64 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Potapova | 27c | 6,147$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cirstea | 68c | 5,915$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.06 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Cirstea | 66c | 4,243$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.93 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…525abacked Potapova | 9c | 3,511$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Potapova | 7c | 3,143$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.42 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Potapova | 9c | 2,144$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Potapova | 16c | 2,041$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.08 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Potapova | 21c | 2,022$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.87 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Potapova | 34c | 1,506$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.7 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Potapova | 30c | 1,287$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.16 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cirstea | 62c | 1,254$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.66 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Potapova | 21c | 1,222$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Potapova | 30c | 1,213$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.67 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Potapova | 10c | 1,039$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Cirstea | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Cirstea | 63c | 949.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.81 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Potapova | 6c | 849.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Potapova | 39c | 848.46$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.9 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Cirstea | 65c | 772.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Potapova | 34c | 761.76$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Cirstea | 62c | 743.91$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.69 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Potapova | 15c | 651.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Potapova | 38c | 617.33$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Potapova | 34c | 616.3$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Potapova | 27c | 609.01$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…5aeebacked Potapova | 35c | 590.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Potapova | 8c | 587.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cirstea | 77c | 584.27$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cirstea | 77c | 573.73$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…e5ccbacked Potapova | 5c | 552.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Potapova | 19c | 542.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Potapova | 29c | 516.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Potapova | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Potapova | 13c | 483.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Potapova | 13c | 464.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Potapova | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Cirstea | 66c | 440.77$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Potapova | 9c | 434.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Potapova | 28c | 360.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Cirstea | 70c | 355.55$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Potapova | 22c | 351.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Potapova | 34c | 336.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Cirstea | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Potapova | 47c | 310.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…bb95backed Cirstea | 75c | 308.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Cirstea | 63c | 302.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…3a0dbacked Cirstea | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Cirstea | 75c | 294.34$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Potapova | 35c | 292$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Potapova | 19c | 290.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Potapova | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Cirstea | 55c | 228.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Cirstea | 76c | 223.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Potapova | 32c | 208.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…c672backed Cirstea | 55c | 206.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Potapova | 33c | 206$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Potapova | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Cirstea | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Potapova | 34c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Potapova | 10c | 199.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…7e84backed Cirstea | 55c | 196.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Cirstea | 66c | 185.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7a41backed Cirstea | 54c | 184.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…a87abacked Potapova | 34c | 179.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Potapova | 33c | 171$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Cirstea | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…bc9bbacked Cirstea | 55c | 167.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Potapova | 26c | 165.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Potapova | 15c | 164.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Potapova | 33c | 156.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Potapova | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Potapova | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Cirstea | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Cirstea | 64c | 142.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…59f3backed Potapova | 39c | 126.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Potapova | 20c | 124.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Potapova | 33c | 118.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Cirstea | 74c | 113.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Potapova | 22c | 112.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5081backed Potapova | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Cirstea | 54c | 108.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…cd20backed Potapova | 16c | 105.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Cirstea | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…9f95backed Cirstea | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Potapova | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Potapova | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked Potapova | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Cirstea | 54c | 93.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Cirstea | 54c | 85.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Cirstea | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Cirstea | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Sorana Cirsteathis page
- Potapova vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Potapova vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Potapova vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs CirsteaCirstea won
- Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)Cirstea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.