TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Sorana Cirstea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cirsteaof Potapova, Cirstea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Potapova36c100,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,999.9911633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cirstea67c47,049$31,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,671.592,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Potapova33c14,404$4,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800.5676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cirstea69c13,864$9,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,313.8411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Cirstea67c13,133$8,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,364.7612442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cirstea73c8,946$6,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.238,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Potapova12c8,394$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Cirstea55c8,139$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.164461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cirstea74c6,231$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.647,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Potapova27c6,147$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6431,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Cirstea68c5,915$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.0648851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Cirstea66c4,243$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.9333955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe63e…525abacked Potapova9c3,511$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162313%3 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Potapova7c3,143$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.424055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Potapova9c2,144$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Potapova16c2,041$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0822641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Potapova21c2,022$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8744754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Potapova34c1,506$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.71,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Potapova30c1,287$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.161,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cirstea62c1,254$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.6627063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Potapova21c1,222$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25512335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Potapova30c1,213$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.6769249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Potapova10c1,039$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Cirstea62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Cirstea63c949.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.8110557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Potapova6c849.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9816133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Potapova39c848.46$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.914450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Cirstea65c772.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.313050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Potapova34c761.76$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2595628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Cirstea62c743.91$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6911560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Potapova15c651.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5912740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Potapova38c617.33$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5957939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Potapova34c616.3$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21136038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Potapova27c609.01$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.691,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c7d…5aeebacked Potapova35c590.31$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064422.7%10 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-45.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Potapova8c587.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cirstea77c584.27$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.92,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Cirstea77c573.73$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5952037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e36…e5ccbacked Potapova5c552.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Potapova19c542.81$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1616132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Potapova29c516.38$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.383,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c4…7242backed Potapova4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208422.6%19 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Potapova13c483.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.932,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Potapova13c464.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Potapova34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Cirstea66c440.77$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.851,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Potapova9c434.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4133326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Potapova28c360.32$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.267936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Cirstea70c355.55$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.556732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Potapova22c351.89$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.973,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Potapova34c336.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.421,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Cirstea64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.523353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9735…b03bbacked Potapova47c310.64$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b46…bb95backed Cirstea75c308.98$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.032878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Cirstea63c302.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.931,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7b…3a0dbacked Cirstea66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Cirstea75c294.34$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7239872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Potapova35c292$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.148445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Potapova19c290.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Potapova8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Cirstea55c228.53$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Cirstea76c223.89$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.738145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Potapova32c208.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.811,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Cirstea55c206.43$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Potapova33c206$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9816340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Potapova6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Cirstea76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.092853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Potapova34c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6949142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Potapova10c199.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f6b…7e84backed Cirstea55c196.6$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Cirstea66c185.59$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.123126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Cirstea54c184.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…a87abacked Potapova34c179.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Potapova33c171$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.432240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Cirstea59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4920447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x862d…bc9bbacked Cirstea55c167.79$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Potapova26c165.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Potapova15c164.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Potapova33c156.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9749143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Potapova33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Potapova39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.52222.7%5 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Cirstea68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0659965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Cirstea64c142.62$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.185156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x094d…59f3backed Potapova39c126.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Potapova20c124.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.852,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Potapova33c118.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.437,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7a79backed Cirstea74c113.51$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.516762.7%42 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Potapova22c112.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.076,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5d…5081backed Potapova14c110$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Cirstea54c108.3$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa913…cd20backed Potapova16c105.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Cirstea60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab3…9f95backed Cirstea68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Potapova21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Potapova37c95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d4…045fbacked Potapova20c95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1950%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x650a…e30fbacked Cirstea54c93.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Cirstea54c85.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Cirstea54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Cirstea61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.978547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.