Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1343949c8c4d2f355aaf7394fe475c1890aec6bc9a873e88fa33c2b83410574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melbourne Starsof Melbourne Stars, Hobart Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 43c | 6,244$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.67 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Melbourne Stars | 58c | 5,485$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Melbourne Stars | 66c | 3,041$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Melbourne Stars | 56c | 2,766$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Melbourne Stars | 51c | 2,511$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.38 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Melbourne Stars | 59c | 2,021$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Melbourne Stars | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Melbourne Stars | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hobart Hurricanes | 43c | 1,785$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.69 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 56c | 1,360$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Hobart Hurricanes | 44c | 1,261$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.54 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Hobart Hurricanes | 53c | 1,149$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Hobart Hurricanes | 51c | 926.92$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 51c | 886.53$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.74 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Melbourne Stars | 54c | 852$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff5…3ecfbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 29c | 839.85$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Melbourne Stars | 47c | 836$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.44 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hobart Hurricanes | 47c | 778.04$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.47 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Hobart Hurricanes | 33c | 775$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Hobart Hurricanes | 54c | 741.53$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Hobart Hurricanes | 50c | 599.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Melbourne Stars | 44c | 549$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Melbourne Stars | 50c | 507.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Hobart Hurricanes | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…3dc5backed Hobart Hurricanes | 20c | 460$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…a87abacked Hobart Hurricanes | 40c | 368.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 55c | 345.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Hobart Hurricanes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hobart Hurricanes | 45c | 264.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 54c | 260$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…4823backed Melbourne Stars | 48c | 256$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Melbourne Stars | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +343%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Hobart Hurricanes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Hobart Hurricanes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…5cc1backed Melbourne Stars | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…b949backed Melbourne Stars | 64c | 167.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Melbourne Stars | 50c | 147.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked Hobart Hurricanes | 47c | 120.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Hobart Hurricanes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Hobart Hurricanes | 52c | 119.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Melbourne Stars | 59c | 119.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…496bbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 55c | 116.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed Melbourne Stars | 51c | 110.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Hobart Hurricanes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hobart Hurricanes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Melbourne Stars | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…7068backed Hobart Hurricanes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Melbourne Stars | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Hobart Hurricanes | 50c | 99.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e44…53d0backed Melbourne Stars | 48c | 97.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Hobart Hurricanes | 53c | 95.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Hobart Hurricanes | 52c | 94.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Melbourne Stars | 46c | 77.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Hobart Hurricanes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Melbourne Stars | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed Melbourne Stars | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 47c | 54.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…0483backed Melbourne Stars | 53c | 51.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Hobart Hurricanes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Hobart Hurricanes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…fba5backed Melbourne Stars | 48c | 47.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +165.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 54c | 47.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 30c | 41.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Hobart Hurricanes | 59c | 40.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Melbourne Stars | 41c | 40.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Melbourne Stars | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed Melbourne Stars | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Melbourne Stars | 50c | 32.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…d9d9backed Melbourne Stars | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…5eb9backed Hobart Hurricanes | 49c | 29.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…6471backed Melbourne Stars | 49c | 27.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Melbourne Stars | 72c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…62e6backed Melbourne Stars | 54c | 20.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…0c51backed Melbourne Stars | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Melbourne Stars | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae12…4e5dbacked Melbourne Stars | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.