Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ed95a8c116d80ba09b32c254644d16105c28cf0a0145f3eb487962c5224d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adelaide Strikersof Sydney Sixers, Adelaide Strikers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Sydney Sixers | 30c | 7,015$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.78 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Adelaide Strikers | 72c | 3,869$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.25 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Sydney Sixers | 55c | 2,881$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.01 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Adelaide Strikers | 65c | 2,657$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.25 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sydney Sixers | 54c | 2,641$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Adelaide Strikers | 59c | 2,050$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.57 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Sydney Sixers | 36c | 1,620$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.92 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Sydney Sixers | 7c | 1,200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Adelaide Strikers | 54c | 1,061$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.56 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…9913backed Adelaide Strikers | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 46c | 695.26$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.42 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sydney Sixers | 33c | 650.72$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.82 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Adelaide Strikers | 46c | 538.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.3 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Adelaide Strikers | 63c | 517.69$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03d…0aa2backed Sydney Sixers | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Sydney Sixers | 18c | 484.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…4e12backed Adelaide Strikers | 45c | 480$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…4d64backed Adelaide Strikers | 45c | 430$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Sydney Sixers | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Adelaide Strikers | 56c | 376$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Sydney Sixers | 9c | 337.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Sydney Sixers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc59…74a0backed Sydney Sixers | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…0b9abacked Sydney Sixers | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Adelaide Strikers | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Sydney Sixers | 54c | 239.03$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…e843backed Sydney Sixers | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…ef4ebacked Sydney Sixers | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Sydney Sixers | 53c | 220.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Adelaide Strikers | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Adelaide Strikers | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…2fccbacked Sydney Sixers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sydney Sixers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Sydney Sixers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Adelaide Strikers | 53c | 192.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…3dc5backed Sydney Sixers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 158.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…de7cbacked Sydney Sixers | 7c | 155.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed76…c4c8backed Adelaide Strikers | 66c | 151.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Adelaide Strikers | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Adelaide Strikers | 54c | 149$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Sydney Sixers | 19c | 137.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Sydney Sixers | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Adelaide Strikers | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…7376backed Adelaide Strikers | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…e784backed Sydney Sixers | 56c | 104$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…572fbacked Adelaide Strikers | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8e…60c0backed Sydney Sixers | 56c | 102$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Adelaide Strikers | 66c | 97.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…a87abacked Adelaide Strikers | 47c | 93.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Adelaide Strikers | 68c | 88.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Sydney Sixers | 46c | 71.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed Adelaide Strikers | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…0483backed Adelaide Strikers | 51c | 56.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Sydney Sixers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sydney Sixers | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…1275backed Adelaide Strikers | 72c | 43.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Adelaide Strikers | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed Adelaide Strikers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Adelaide Strikers | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 60c | 32.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sydney Sixers | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Adelaide Strikers | 65c | 31.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Adelaide Strikers | 43c | 27.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…9215backed Adelaide Strikers | 59c | 21.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sydney Sixers | 57c | 20.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Sydney Sixers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed Adelaide Strikers | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.