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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Astralis (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of M80, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2418…66c8backed M8043c25,000$10,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,207.4360853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked M8075c20,233$15,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,006.5322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis50c13,695$6,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,864.683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis28c12,380$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,524.914,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed M8047c9,797$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,157.7682143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed Astralis57c9,063$5,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,122.879050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Astralis21c7,491$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.8632425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Astralis56c6,460$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Astralis56c6,172$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.0513646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Astralis57c6,063$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,455.9128453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8f…20abbacked Astralis20c5,068$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed M8044c4,800$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,68857647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed M8057c4,196$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.931,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis57c4,031$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.630340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbba…f349backed M8044c3,497$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.32532%8 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Astralis58c2,977$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.353557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked Astralis55c2,893$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.3511656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Astralis57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Astralis39c2,474$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8045c2,200$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.31,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked M8044c2,200$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23236240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed M8047c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06075550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Astralis57c1,958$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.86450%32 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Astralis57c1,917$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.626253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed M8070c1,830$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.1312648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cf1…5c57backed Astralis28c1,800$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002528%7 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Astralis57c1,579$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Astralis54c1,558$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8406546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis26c1,526$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.721,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Astralis57c1,323$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.0810252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed M8046c1,301$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.297349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked M8044c1,250$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked M8042c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.9922056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked M8057c1,143$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.971,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis56c999.39$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.661,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Astralis33c891.18$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis55c888.13$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.471,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Astralis57c874.21$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed M8054c870$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.841850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked M8079c859.99$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.91,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Astralis15c833.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Astralis44c810.37$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8815749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked M8044c772.73$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.737042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0af1…abc0backed Astralis13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed M8068c714.36$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.611044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed M8067c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23158651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked M8072c675.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.282860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Astralis7c670.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.924219%8 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x640f…f197backed Astralis16c635.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004122%9 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Astralis57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34246340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked M8056c589.29$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.298842%37 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed M8046c532.39$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4913461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Astralis55c507$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.999215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Astralis55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked M8043c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2852254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Astralis55c500$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27744848.4%217 W · 231 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Astralis55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27515954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed M8044c463.01$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Astralis43c443.53$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4321042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed M8057c418.9$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.94949%24 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Astralis12c417.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Astralis52c371.33$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.098042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…e1c8backed Astralis56c364$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.843234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed M8056c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked M8078c341.49$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4925070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked M8044c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9118443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed M8069c330$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.32955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Astralis55c302$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.138552.2%201 W · 184 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7358961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x746e…04dabacked Astralis55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657643.4%33 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed M8042c281.19$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0934235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Astralis56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fcc…25e1backed M8080c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Astralis9c238$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.337035.7%25 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed M8044c228.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6411149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea7…8fd2backed Astralis51c221.78$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Astralis24c213.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6310153.5%54 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Astralis54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815749%77 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf72…4893backed M8056c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887321.9%16 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Astralis56c198$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8863445.3%287 W · 347 L-2.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Astralis51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e08…3d14backed M8052c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Astralis47c191.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905149%25 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed M8043c178$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.461963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Astralis31c177.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa813…2babbacked Astralis8c177$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.162060%12 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef0d…c791backed Astralis57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Astralis57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed Astralis57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x086c…d02abacked Astralis58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked M8066c170$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.131,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Astralis36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed M8046c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.45957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Astralis56c158.71$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.887842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked M8045c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.519043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…7a52backed M8038c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked Astralis53c144.58$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7725350.2%127 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed M8070c143.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1440248.8%196 W · 206 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.