TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Under52c80,000$41,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,422.525151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over48c31,386$15,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,065.1848448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c26,365$11,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,474.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over48c21,539$10,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,273.7836943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over48c16,479$7,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,91040350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…81aabacked Over48c10,207$4,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.442040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c9,385$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,504.982,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Over48c3,496$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.1617250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under49c2,149$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.9522845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Under53c2,075$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.4717856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c1,632$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.222,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Over45c1,546$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.76051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over40c1,470$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c1,445$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.993,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7119…45fabacked Over48c1,052$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48018954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under57c941.05$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6527051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under52c769$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.121,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over48c765.13$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2635651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under54c699.96$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.92,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.862,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23514255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20811942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18415844.3%70 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under45c394.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2420856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c306$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.121,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under57c250$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over51c243.95$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4195049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40b…175fbacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over47c211.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028838.2%110 W · 178 L-18.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under53c187.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0465649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over50c166.41$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.592,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7512952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c141$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c106$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053141.8%222 W · 309 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4944654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c88.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.783,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b8…68a5backed Over48c88.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.356556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over50c83.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4880148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd87b…946dbacked Over44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334540%18 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x588a…aeebbacked Under53c63.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.982548%12 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+71.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e3d…d3e6backed Over48c62.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.637848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd64…c090backed Under55c54.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under47c50.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.524946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.224552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.226648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.225150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db9…ec0abacked Over48c47.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.981947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8b…e61ebacked Over42c47.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd22…1ff9backed Over45c46.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Over53c46.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5213652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over48c45.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b5…e049backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209237%34 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd586…87cfbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011544.3%51 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76f…6063backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+60.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e07…3702backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c35.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcb…7089backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…273fbacked Under56c35.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711190.9%10 W · 1 L+5.0wins+0.45per pick46cpaid+142.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c35.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.092,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.061,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5232649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…b6d3backed Over51c30.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ab…f5cebacked Under53c25.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.238048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Under53c19.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0444844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.