NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51404a2335f1283c96d5070c064ca4de8188030474178a3066629cc24606c875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 47c | 19,531$9,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,238.78 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 19,370$9,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,418.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.13 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 50c | 5,527$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.62 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 4,375$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…e302backed Under | 49c | 4,029$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e9…d516backed Under | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 54c | 3,090$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.4 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…88b2backed Under | 49c | 2,806$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 54c | 1,267$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.83 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 1,154$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.34 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 46c | 652.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 51c | 453$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 346$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 215.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 52c | 209.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Over | 52c | 193.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 193$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Over | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 68c | 99.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…b468backed Under | 50c | 79.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Under | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5this page
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Rockets won
- Suns vs. RocketsRockets won
- Suns vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.