NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da60091c7bd8f9b19c15bf11f4e220d32c7bddbd8c02cbb313901612840d93b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 48c | 11,098$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.73 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 52c | 5,536$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.37 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 51c | 4,965$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.06 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,832$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e9…d516backed Under | 52c | 4,423$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 1,379$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 750.08$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 51c | 511.76$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 44c | 510.36$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.43 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4741backed Under | 56c | 366.56$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 302.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 50c | 211.85$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…a4a9backed Over | 49c | 204.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 186.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 159$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 113$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 50c | 95.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 43c | 95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 71.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…3d3abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 52c | 19.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5this page
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Rockets won
- Suns vs. RocketsRockets won
- Suns vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.