NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1daf6f1f8dca3c800777e961ddbcc3546909bfe68d0e88066bd0df14255bffef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,119,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,144,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,119,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Sharks | 37c | 667,284$248,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,119.34 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Red Wings | 62c | 152,969$95,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,742.45 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks | 28c | 150,000$42,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,448.57 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Red Wings | 69c | 85,575$59,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,300.14 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Red Wings | 63c | 80,000$50,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,900 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Red Wings | 63c | 74,300$46,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,738.5 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Red Wings | 64c | 56,749$36,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,429.64 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Red Wings | 63c | 45,983$28,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,098.24 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Red Wings | 64c | 43,050$27,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,498 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Red Wings | 57c | 38,302$21,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,527.53 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Wings | 64c | 33,095$21,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,069.75 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 80c | 32,732$26,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.66 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 62c | 27,135$16,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,212.46 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Red Wings | 63c | 24,984$15,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,310.49 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Red Wings | 64c | 21,818$13,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,906.85 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc1…64debacked Sharks | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Red Wings | 50c | 15,093$7,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,546.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…a986backed Sharks | 50c | 15,093$7,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,546.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Red Wings | 79c | 13,128$10,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.29 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 63c | 12,800$8,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Sharks | 1c | 12,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Red Wings | 63c | 11,563$7,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.15 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Red Wings | 63c | 11,413$7,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.8 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Red Wings | 63c | 11,135$6,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.1 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Sharks | 35c | 11,120$3,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.76 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Wings | 63c | 10,648$6,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.12 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Red Wings | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.96 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 63c | 8,995$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.15 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings | 61c | 8,446$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.14 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Red Wings | 65c | 8,206$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Sharks | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Sharks | 37c | 7,627$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Sharks | 21c | 6,256$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.74 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Red Wings | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Red Wings | 64c | 5,388$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.75 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Red Wings | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Red Wings | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Red Wings | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.98 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sharks | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 80c | 4,650$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.06 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Red Wings | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Wings | 64c | 3,672$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.92 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 62c | 3,569$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.64 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Red Wings | 64c | 3,567$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…d188backed Red Wings | 63c | 3,000$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Red Wings | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…a40dbacked Sharks | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Red Wings | 62c | 2,995$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.1 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Wings | 63c | 2,969$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.56 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sharks | 36c | 2,801$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.5 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Red Wings | 65c | 2,652$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.33 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Red Wings | 80c | 2,578$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Wings | 63c | 2,561$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.4 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Sharks | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings | 62c | 2,399$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.72 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Red Wings | 64c | 2,230$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.71 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Wings | 63c | 2,160$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Red Wings | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked Red Wings | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…958bbacked Sharks | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…69cdbacked Red Wings | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…5c0abacked Sharks | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…a08abacked Sharks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Sharks | 27c | 1,731$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.62 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,554$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.22 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Red Wings | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Wings | 63c | 1,364$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.55 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…0fb2backed Red Wings | 65c | 1,326$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks | 39c | 1,289$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 62c | 1,210$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Red Wings | 64c | 1,174$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.91 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Sharks | 41c | 1,135$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sharks | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 68c | 1,063$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.76 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Red Wings | 64c | 1,024$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.17 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…078abacked Red Wings | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Sharks | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 37c | 968.81$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Wings | 72c | 949.02$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…454cbacked Red Wings | 64c | 915.63$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Red Wings | 58c | 903.17$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.67 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Wings | 63c | 847$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.53 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…df3abacked Sharks | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…54d9backed Red Wings | 63c | 789$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…7912backed Red Wings | 64c | 775.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 63c | 750.05$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.52 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sharks | 30c | 700.08$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…3cabbacked Sharks | 37c | 695.87$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Sharks | 36c | 646.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Red Wings | 80c | 644$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Wings | 63c | 564.02$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sharks | 37c | 561$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.57 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Sharks | 29c | 555.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 37c | 540.39$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings | 63c | 504.97$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Red Wings | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Red Wings | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Sharks | 36c | 438.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Sharks | 23c | 434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Sharksthis page
- Red Wings vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.